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http://www.mebanefaber.com/2009/11/04/contrarian-signs/ -
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I'm with you though on the contrarianism... cash4gold, random people asking me if they should buy some, etc. But on the other hand you have a bunch of prominent hedgies in the play. Tough call. But like you said, draw a line in the sand and you're all set.
Oh, forgot to add that I guess you could also consider all the hedgies being in the metal a contrarian sign as well.
Like as in a Dutch Colonial?